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Day 4 - IFA International

  • Text
  • Products
  • September
  • Consumer
  • European
  • Electronics
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  • Berlin
  • Trends
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MARKET & TECHNOLOGY

MARKET & TECHNOLOGY TRENDS GROwTH DRivEN bY iNNOvATivE pRODuCTS GfK RELEASES LATEST DATA ON TECHNiCAL CONSuMER EquipMENT MARKETS The worldwide markets for consumer electronics, audio/video, photo, IT and telecommunications are continuing to expand in spite of the crisis. In 2009, consumers will spend 2% more on products in the audio/video, photography, IT and telecommunications segments, with total global expenditure for the year as a whole forecast at EUR 494 billion (USD 706 billion). These are the findings of a continuous survey carried out by GfK Retail and Technology in more than 80 countries. With sales growth of 8%, Japan is currently the region with the most rapid expansion, followed by Africa with growth of 6% and China with 5%. A decline of 3% in North America and 5% in Europe is expected. The three largest product categories are also enjoying an uninterrupted growth trend. Mobile phones and televisions each increased by 4% in terms of value, while consumer PCs grew by 2%. In each of these categories, which account for 78% of the total market, innovation is the main growth driver. This is underlined by new products such as smart phones, flat-screen televisions and notebooks. The smaller product groups also made a positive contribution to the overall development; for example, the global sales volume of Blu-ray players is expected to grow by 117% this year, with sales of portable navigation devices rising by 17%. Consumer electronics in Europe In 2009, European consumers will spend around 11% less on consumer electronics. Aside from the general economic environment, one of the main reasons for this development is the negative sales trend in flatscreen televisions, previously a key pillar of growth. This is due to the rapid fall in average prices, which is more than offsetting the current volume growth. The highly encouraging threedigit growth in the area of Blu-ray players is not enough to compensate for declining sales in the TV sector. GfK Retail and Technology All in all, 50% of sales in the first half of the year were generated in the three largest West-European countries. Germany accounted for the highest share of 19%, followed by the United Kingdom with 16% and France with 15%. The rest is spread across the other 24 European countries for which GfK Retail and Technology collects regular comparable data. Current sales development in Europe as a whole, which is based on the euro, is being impacted by negative exchange rate effects from the United Kingdom and various Eastern European markets. The following chart shows the developments in the individual countries adjusted for exchange rate effects. GfK is forecasting total European consumer electronics sales of approximately EUR 54 billion in 2009. TV sets: further growth in demand As in previous years, televisions remain one of the key growth drivers in the European consumer electronics market in terms of units sold, with demand rising by 25%. At the same time, however, constant price pressure meant that sales declined by 7%. The reasons include the continued strained economic situation in a number of countries, as well as the high growth rates recorded in the first half of 2008, which was characterized by extremely high sales due to the European Football Championship. While traditional CRT televisions are essentially irrelevant nowadays, one in every eight euros is spent on a plasma TV. Thus, LCD TV now takes the lion’s share of 88% in turnover, with particularly big increases in the larger screen sizes of 37 inches and more. 32-inch screens remain the most popular segment, being chosen by one in three customers. In light of these trends, GfK is forecasting sales of 43.5 million LCD and 4.3 million plasma sets in total Europe in 2009. Full HD TVs are becoming increasingly popular and now represent 49% of LCD TVs and 23% of plasma TVs sold. The average expenditure on televisions in the first half of 2009 has fallen at just under EUR 600. There were declines within segments with similar product features; for example, 37- inch LCD TVs and 50-inch plasma TVs each recorded losses of 20%. The generation of additional consumer demand, and hence price stabilization, will depend on the success of new features such as LED backlights and 200Hz panels. DVD players and recorders: market buoyed by Blu-ray players The European market for DVD players and recorders is becoming increasingly less significant. In the first half of the year, the number of units sold declined by 13%, with sales by revenue falling by as much as 20%. The traditional DVD player market declined by 14% in terms of units sold and 25% in terms of sales. These losses were partially offset by the strong growth enjoyed by Blu-ray players, which quadrupled their sales in the first half of 2009 compared with the same period of the previous year. However, sales growth in the Blu-ray segment was less pronounced on account of the sharp fall in prices (to an average of EUR 252 between January and June 2009). At +147%, however, development remains extremely positive. This means that Blu-ray players are now responsible for onethird of sales in the European DVD player segment. Sales of DVD recorders fell by 32%, meaning that this product category now accounts for only 41% of the overall DVD hardware sector. GfK is forecasting sales of 18.7 million traditional home DVD players, 2.1 million Bluray players and 4.6 million DVD recorders in 2009. 14 www.ifa-international.org IFA International • Monday, 7 th September 2009

MARKET & TECHNOLOGY TRENDS EuROpE: CONSuMER ELECTRONiCS – TuRNOvER bY COuNTRiES Europe: Consumer electronics - turnover by countries Consumer Electronics / Hardware* Europe Sales Value %** Turnover by Countries 1. Half year 2009 vs 1. Half year 2008 Source: GfK Retail and Technology 19 Germany 0 16 Great Britain -3 France -4 15 Italy -8 9 Germany -14 8 Netherlands -18 5 Other Western Europe -8 13 Russia -10 7 8 Other Eastern Europe -13 1. Hy. 2009 Total (in €): 12% * TV / Video / HiFi / Portable Audio / Car audio * * All in Euro except of development rates Great Britain, Russia, Other Easter Europe (in local currencies) Source: GfK Retail and technology Hall X.X / Stand XXX IFA International • Monday, 7 th September 2009 www.ifa-international.org 15

IFA International